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Big #ONI reveal:

#China ALREADY has its own 355+ ship #navy, & within a decade will exceed that benchmark by 70 #ships!

At the end of 2020 China will have 360 battle force ships vs. @USNavy’s 297—over 60 more!

andrewerickson.com/2020/03/new-ed…

@ConsWahoo @JerryHendrixII @alessionaval
#ONI: In 2025 #China’s #Navy will have 400 ships. In 2030, China’s Navy will have 425 ships.

Even if @USNavy reaches its current goal of 355+ by 2030, China’s Navy could still have 70 more ships.

bit.ly/PLAN-2030

This math is truly unforgiving!

andrewerickson.com/2020/03/new-ed…
Given @USNavy’s dispersed global responsibilities vs. #China’s concentrated focus on being able to fight/win regional war over a sovereignty dispute, potentially vs. US & 1+ allies/partners, a sufficiently-sized #USNavy is required to preserve American security & vital interests.
Read 4 tweets
Latest CRS Report—“#China #Naval Modernization: Implications for @USNavy Capabilities”—Has PLAN ship #s projections from Office of Naval #Intelligence!
bit.ly/PLAN-2030

Check out Table 2 for RARE info—PRC battle force ship #s for 2020, 2025 & 2030!
andrewerickson.com/2020/03/new-ed…
Table 2 tallies total #China #Navy battle force #ships!

bit.ly/PLAN-2030

2020: 360 (vs. @USNavy total of ~297)

2025: 400 (vs. ?)

2030: 425 (vs. ?)

andrewerickson.com/2020/03/new-ed…

#PLAN has more small ships; #USN has most advanced, big ships. But #s matter & PLAN progressing!
Wow! See rare public *projections by Office of #Naval #Intelligence: #China #Navy Battle Force #Ships, 2020-25-30

bit.ly/PLAN-2030

SSBN: 4↗6↗8
SSN: 7↗10↗13
SSK: 55→55→55
CV, CG, DDG: 43↗55↗65
FFG, DDC: 102↗120↗135

TOTAL: 360↗400↗425

andrewerickson.com/2020/03/new-ed…
Read 27 tweets

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