Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #fl27

The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes tonight's filing dump, dropping $24.9 million in 39 races, bringing its general election IE spending to $175,411,754, more than the $173,430,579 spent by the Democratic House Majority PAC and the DCCC combined.

Today's CLF buys (1/3)

#CA47 $1,682,483
#PA07 $1,539,925
#NY17 $1,518,158
#NV03 $1,503,351
#NV01 $1,455,758
#IN01 $1,014,589
#VA07 $991,831
#CA13 $945,284
#NJ07 $833,186
#NY19 $770,181
#CA49 $769,283
#TX34 $738,255
#WA08 $715,288
#CA22 $711,987
#OR05 $680,714
#PA17 $665,653

Today's CLF buys (2/3)

#TX28 $636,376
#CO08 $624,456
#IL17 $611,310
#CT05 $608,112
#NC13 $582,079
#ME02 $548,414
#NY22 $498,339
#RI02 $486,313
#MN02 $472,556
#VA02 $405,567
#FL27 $393,568
#OH01 $343,088
#AZ06 $329,402
#CA45 $294,819
#NE02 $259,178
#MI07 $249,885
#NY18 $222,852

Read 5 tweets

Rob Pyers

@rpyers

Friday night's filing dump from the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes after a $23.15 million torrent of spending spread across 43 targeted House races.

CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…

Congressional Leadership Fund continues to run well ahead of their pace from past cycles and is running laps around the Democratic House Majority PAC, outspending their counterpart $120.9M to $40.7M.

Tonight's CLF buys (1/3)

#NV03 $1,429,474
#NV01 $1,422,146
#PA07 $1,047,124
#NJ07 $901,401
#CO08 $881,835
#CA47 $841,483
#OR05 $821,203
#IL17 $726,494
#FL27 $651,174
#MN02 $650,074
#NY19 $646,069
#VA07 $631,866
#CA13 $629,151
#MI07 $618,935
#TX28 $616,752
#CA22 $604,211

Read 5 tweets

Phil Prazan

@PhilPrazan

1/3 - Campaign for @Annette_Taddeo puts out 400 pp poll on #FL27, showing her up on @MaElviraSalazar by just under 1%. (47%-46.3%-6.7%)

Calling race "statistical tie" in a "razor thin" district that's gone back and forth.

MOE +/- 4.9.
Oct 3-5. ENG + ESP.
77% cell

@nbc6

2/3 - This comes after reporting that #FL27 is the most expensive race for Congress in Florida. One of the few swing districts left in the entire country.
floridapolitics.com/archives/56098…

Also of note from Taddeo poll from #FL27

- Taddeo campaign says they're up (55%-40%) for people with their ballots / VBM.

- @GovRonDeSantis up on @CharlieCrist 50%-44%.

- very close btw @marcorubio and @valdemings 47%-48%

@nbc6

Read 3 tweets

TrumpsTaxes

@TrumpsTaxes

🚨2022 FLIPPABLE HOUSE SEATS🚨

The magic numbers: 5⃣ and 3⃣0⃣

5⃣: Average point swing improvement for Dem candidates in House Special Elections Dem over 2020 Presidential margins.

3⃣0⃣: Number of GOP-held House seats Trump won by five points or less, or that Biden won.

🧵👇

Race: #TX34

Democrat: Vicente Gonzalez (@VoteVicente)

Republican: Rep. Mayra Flores

2020 Margin: Biden +15.7

Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/vicente…

Race: #CA22

Democrat: Rudy Salas (@RudySalasCA)

Republican: Rep. David Valadao

2020 Margin: Biden +13.1

Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/salaswe…

Read 31 tweets

Daily Kos Elections

@DKElections

The AP has called #FL11 GOP primary for Rep. Dan Webster. The longest-serving state legislator in FL history and its first GOP state House speaker since Reconstruction turns back far-right activist Laura Loomer in shockingly tight contest.

Over in GOP primary for open and dark red #OK02, former state Sen. Josh Brecheen leads state Rep. Avery Frix 54.5-45.5. Group affiliated with Club for Growth spent heavily for Brecheen, a former Club fellow.

AP calls #FL13 GOP primary for Trump's candidate, 2020 nominee Anna Paulina Luna. She'll face former DoD official Eric Lynn in seat GOP gerrymandered into 53-46 Trump.

Read 46 tweets

Daily Kos Elections

@DKElections

Polls have closed in most of Florida, where a huge amount of votes usually start coming in early; Oklahoma is at 8 PM ET/ 7 local time, New York 9 ET. We'll be liveblogging the results and tweeting here dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…

This is the biggest U.S. election night from now till November. Check out our cheat sheet for what to follow! docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

You can also find our preview of tonight's MANY big races dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…

Read 23 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

NEW: FL's Senate Rs release four draft congressional maps. Bizarre: these maps shore up #FL27 Rep. Maria Salazar (R), but otherwise are barely gerrymanders. By my count these maps break down 16-12 Trump-Biden, vs. 15-12 today. Is this a head fake?

These maps would put #FL15 Rep. Scott Franklin (R) in the new safe R #FL28, but turn #FL15 into a *Biden* seat in the east Tampa suburbs - effectively creating a new Dem seat. I can't imagine this is going to be the ultimate GOP plan in FL.

What's more, the map keeps #FL07 Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D) and #FL13 Rep. Charlie Crist (D) in Biden seats, even though Rs could turn them into double-digit Trump districts. I'd be very surprised if Tallahassee Rs settle for this.

Read 4 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: just when Florida Dems thought it couldn't get any worse, it's about to. Why FL is the GOP's biggest redistricting weapon of 2022. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

Thanks to the FL Supreme Court's hard right turn, Republicans could stretch their current 16R-11D lead in House seats (left) to as wide as 19R-9D (example, right) - erasing most of Dems' current House margin.

The reason? Unlike maps in other large states the GOP controls (TX, GA, OH), the current FL map isn't already a Republican gerrymander. It was redrawn by courts in 2016 after a more liberal FL Supreme Court struck down the GOP's 2011 map. Now, Dems are in big trouble.

Read 5 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

FLORIDA: if you thought things couldn't get worse for Dems...it can. FL could be the GOP's biggest redistricting weapon of 2021.

FL is poised to gain two seats. At a minimum, Rs could easily add two new safe R seats (right) to the current 16R-11D map (left). But...

Because the FL Sup Ct has turned sharply right since 2015, Rs could be even more aggressive - in defiance of FL's Fair Districts amendments.

At the extreme end, Rs could attempt a 21R-8D gerrymander (below), which could cost Dems almost their entire House majority.

In the example above, Reps. Stephanie Murphy (D) #FL07, Charlie Crist (D) #FL13 and Al Lawson (D) #FL05 would all end up in double-digit Trump districts - which might help explain why Murphy & Crist are threatening statewide bids.

Read 6 tweets

Ally Mutnick

@allymutnick

A RECAP of 2020 House races (now that #NY22 is finally resolved)

Dems have 222 House seats. Rs have 213 seats. They are 5 seats away from the majority

Rs flipped 14 Democratic seats & captured the Amash seat. Dems flipped 3 seats. The GOP net gain: 12 seats

The # of House GOP women grew 130%, from 13 to 30, in one cycle

13 Dem members lost in November. But House Rs didn't lose a single incumbent.

Dems flipped #GA07 (Biden+6) & #NC02 + #NC06, thanks to redistricting. The GOP flipped 11 Trump-won & 4 Biden-won districts

GOP flips by presidential margin:

#MN07 (Trump+30)
#NM02 (Trump+12)
#NY11 (Trump+11)
#UT04 (Trump+9)
#SC01 (Trump+6)
#OK05 (Trump+6)
#FL26 (Trump+5)
#IA01 (Trump+4)
#IA02 (Trump+4)
#MI03 (Trump+4)
#NY22 (Trump+??)
#CA48 (Biden+2)
#FL27 (Biden+3)
#CA21 (Biden+10)
#CA39 (Biden+10)

Read 3 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

Based on a variety of number-crunching sources, esp. @DKElections, it looks like there were at most 16 districts out of 435 that split their tickets between president/House in '20 - likely an all-time low.

For perspective, there were 83 such districts in '08 and 35 in '16.

Biden/R districts (9):

#CA21 Valadao
#CA25 Garcia
#CA39 Kim
#CA48 Steel
#FL27 Salazar
#NE02 Bacon
#NY24 Katko
#PA01 Fitzpatrick
#TX24 Van Duyne

Trump/D districts (7/8?):

#IL17 Bustos
#IA03 Axne
#ME02 Golden
#MI08 Slotkin
#NJ03 Kim
#NY22 Brindisi (?)
#PA08 Cartwright
#WI03 Kind

Correction to first tweet: at most 17, if Brindisi (D) prevails in #NY22. Would still be less than half of the 35 in 2016.

Read 3 tweets

Grace Panetta

@grace_panetta

hello! While we're waiting for more presidential results, I thought I'd give you an update on the House. @DecisionDeskHQ projects that Republicans have won back 5 seats on net so far. Rs flipped 7 seats and Dems won back 2 thanks to redistricting in NC businessinsider.com/2020-house-ele…

Seats projected to flip D to R, per @DecisionDeskHQ

#IA01 ( Finkenauer)
#FL26 (Mucarsel-Powell)
#FL27 (Shalala)
#MN07 (Peterson)
#NM02 (Torres Small)
#OK05 ( Horn)
#SC01 (Cunningham)

Others to keep an eye on as more votes are counted: #CA21, #CA39, #NY11, #NY22, #UT04

Democrats have also fallen short on many of their offensive targets to flip R-held seats: their most promising pickup opportunity is #GA07, where @DecisionDesk HQ has not projected a winner and we should (hopefully!) get more clarity today as more votes are counted/reported

Read 4 tweets

Susan B. Anthony List

@SBAList

We're celebrating this morning as 13 NEW proudly #ProLife women (and counting‼️) win their races for the U.S. House!!

#FL27 @MaElviraSalazar

#NM02 @Yvette4congress

#MN07 @FischbachMN7

#SC01 @NancyMace

#OK05 @stephaniebice

1/

#CO03 @laurenboebert

#MI10 @LisaForCongress

#FL03 @Kat_Cammack

#TN01 @DHarshbargerTN1

#IL15 @Miller_Congress

#IA01 @hinsonashley

2/

These courageous women join the 13 current incumbent #ProLife women in the U.S. House who ALL won their races last night.

We're so proud of these women who will be a bold voice for moms and unborn babies on Capitol Hill & we look forward to working with them to save lives!

3/3

Read 3 tweets

Grace Panetta

@grace_panetta

Another vulnerable freshman House Democrat down — Insider and @DecisionDeskHQ project that Democratic Rep. Joe Cunningham in #SC01 has been defeated by Republican challenger Nancy Mace businessinsider.com/south-carolina…

First-term Democrats who flipped R-controlled seats in 2018 but have conceded their 2020 races/been projected to lose by @DecisionDeskHQ:

-Debbie Mucrasel-Powell #FL26
-Donna Shalala #FL27
-Max Rose #NY11
-Xochitl Torres Small #NM02
-Kendra Horn #OK05
-Joe Cunningham #SC01

Abby Finkenauer in #IA01, Anthony Brindisi in #NY22, TJ Cox in #CA21, and Gil Cisneros in #CA39 are all positioned to also conceivably join the list in the coming days, based on @DecisionDeskHQ results

Read 4 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
Mega-THREAD

ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

FLORIDA Democratic Candidates
Postcard & Links for Each
#Congress2020
#FL1 #FL2 #FL3 #FL4 #FL5 #FL6 #FL7 #FL8 #FL9 #FL10 #FL11 #FL12 #FL13 #FL14 #FL15 #FL16 #FL17 #FL18 #FL19 #FL20 #FL21 #FL22 #FL23 #FL24 #FL25 #FL26 #FL27
Find County info here:
dos.elections.myflorida.com/supervisors/
THREAD

FL1
Running against Matt Gaetz #FL1
Democratic Candidate
FLORIDA 1st Congressional District
PHIL EHR
Retired Navy Commander
ehrforcongress.com
Donate here secure.actblue.com/donate/ehr-for…
@PhilEhr

THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All Dem Candidates 50 States: postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…

FL2
FLORIDA 2nd Congressional District
NO DEM CANDIDATE

Read 30 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

FLORIDA Democratic Candidates
LINKS & Postcards for Each
#Congress2020
#FL1 #FL2 #FL3 #FL4 #FL5 #FL6 #FL7 #FL8 #FL9 #FL10 #FL11 #FL12 #FL13 #FL14 #FL15 #FL16 #FL17 #FL18 #FL19 #FL20 #FL21 #FL22 #FL23 #FL24 #FL25 #FL26 #FL27
#DemCastFL #NoSafeSeats
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica

FLORIDA #FL #VoteByMail
Application myfloridaelections.com/Voting-Electio…
County Election Supervisors myfloridaelections.com/Contact-your-S…
Info myfloridaelections.com/Voting-Electio…
#AbsenteeVoting #DemCastFL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All States here postcardsforamerica.com/vote-by-mail.h…

FLORIDA BE A GUARDIAN OF DEMOCRACY!
Be A Poll Worker in #FL
Contact County Elections dos.myflorida.com/elections/cont…
Poll Watcher: 1 per party & 1 per candidate
Detailed info pc2a.info/PollWorkerFlor…
#Elections2020 #DemCastFL
Students Age 16+ qualify
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 29 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

& follow @NDLB2020

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

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