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2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
#BREAKING We are seeing exciting things for #RankedChoiceVoting, the labor movement, & ballot initiatives!! Thread of #DownBallotProgressives & causes #NotMeUs🔹 + some w/
🌻 @GreenPartyUS #MedicareForAll #UnionStrong #1u
Follow @TheRagtagBand
⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬
🌻 @GreenPartyUS #MedicareForAll #UnionStrong #1u
Follow @TheRagtagBand
⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬
.@CallForCongress🔹is running for #WA02 8/2/22 against @RepRickLarsen🔹! He ran a great campaign ‘20 so let’s pick up this seat this time! #NotMeUs #MedicareForAll
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/elect-j…
📌Volunteer: callforcongress.com/volunteer/
📌Website: CallForCongress.com
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/elect-j…
📌Volunteer: callforcongress.com/volunteer/
📌Website: CallForCongress.com
We, @TheRagtagBand stand behind @WholeWashington in efforts for #MedicareForAll in Washington & #ThroughTheStates! @RedBeretsM4All is fundraising for this initiative! #YesOn1471
📌Donate/Merch: secure.actblue.com/donate/wholewa…
📌Website: WholeWashington.org
📌 wholewashington.org/savings-estima…
📌Donate/Merch: secure.actblue.com/donate/wholewa…
📌Website: WholeWashington.org
📌 wholewashington.org/savings-estima…
Congresswoman Carolyn Bourdeaux flipped #GA07 blue & helped put Georgia in the Dem column for the 1st time since 1992.
@Carolyn4GA7 uses her experience helping to rebuild GA’s economy in the Great Recession to tackle kitchen table issues for working families. #WomensHistoryMonth
@Carolyn4GA7 uses her experience helping to rebuild GA’s economy in the Great Recession to tackle kitchen table issues for working families. #WomensHistoryMonth
Congresswoman Teresa Leger Fernandez fought for decades for equity & investment in the health & economic security of Latino & tribal communities.
@TeresaForNM’s expertise is vital as the House tackles a pandemic w/ disparate impact on these communities. #NM03 #WomensHistoryMonth
@TeresaForNM’s expertise is vital as the House tackles a pandemic w/ disparate impact on these communities. #NM03 #WomensHistoryMonth
Congresswoman Marie Newman’s fight for #Equality4All was a national model years before she came to DC.
@Marie4Congress also works for health care, gun sense, and curbing economic inequality with workforce & infrastructure investment for a green economy. #IL03 #WomensHistoryMonth
@Marie4Congress also works for health care, gun sense, and curbing economic inequality with workforce & infrastructure investment for a green economy. #IL03 #WomensHistoryMonth
Another tale of an affluent MN suburb moving left in the Trump era: #SD53. Obama +4.7 to Clinton +12.5 to Biden +21.5. Went from being ~3 points to the right of the state in 2012 to over 14 points to the left in 2020.
#SD53 was considerably wider in 2020 than 2016, but still ran well behind the top of the ticket.
In all but Oakdale P-1 and Landfall did Biden run ahead of Kent. The GOP ran a former Mayor of Woodbury which makes up a lot of the district and probably helped narrow at least part of the margin.
Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, and Wisconsin are holding Congressional primaries today and Georgia is holding primary runoff elections for several House seats.
In Connecticut, Democrats hold all 5 House seats and none are facing primary challengers. Republicans will challenge Democrats this fall in all 5 seats with 2 primaries in 1st and 2nd Districts held today. GOP winners will face Reps. Larson and Courtney respectively in November.
In Minnesota, #MNSen primary elections are being held today. 1st term Democratic Senator Tina Smith face four DFL primary challengers and 5 Republican candidates including former Rep. Jason Lewis who was endorsed by President Trump are running to be their party's nominee.
Hey #MINNESOTA
Here’s a THREAD all your Democratic Candidates #Midterms2018!
with photos, Twitter & Websites.
& Voter Info links to Registration, Absentee, ID, Poll Worker
Use wherever helpful.
#VoteBlueMN
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
#MN01 #MN02 #MN03 #MN04 #MN05 #MN06 #MN07 #MN08
Here’s a THREAD all your Democratic Candidates #Midterms2018!
with photos, Twitter & Websites.
& Voter Info links to Registration, Absentee, ID, Poll Worker
Use wherever helpful.
#VoteBlueMN
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
#MN01 #MN02 #MN03 #MN04 #MN05 #MN06 #MN07 #MN08
Voter Registration in Minnesota
Am I registered? mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterStatus.as…
If registering ONLINE by October 16 here:
mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterRegistrat…
Paper Application: sos.state.mn.us/elections-voti…
Re-register if you have:
Moved, Changed Name or not voted at least once in last 4 years.
#VoteBlue
Am I registered? mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterStatus.as…
If registering ONLINE by October 16 here:
mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterRegistrat…
Paper Application: sos.state.mn.us/elections-voti…
Re-register if you have:
Moved, Changed Name or not voted at least once in last 4 years.
#VoteBlue
Democratic Candidate #MN01 #MINNESOTA
Dan Feehan
danfeehan.com
@danielfeehan
vs GOP Jim Hagedorn
[Tim Walz (DFL Candidate for Governor in 2018. ]
VOTE NOVEMBER 6
#VoteBlueMN #Midterms2018
Dan Feehan
danfeehan.com
@danielfeehan
vs GOP Jim Hagedorn
[Tim Walz (DFL Candidate for Governor in 2018. ]
VOTE NOVEMBER 6
#VoteBlueMN #Midterms2018
Wow, #Minnesota!
You get to start #EarlyVoting this Friday for your AUGUST 14th #PrimaryElection!
Here's a THREAD of ALL your Democratic Candidates with photos & websites. Also Voter Info with links.
Check to see if you're registered here:
mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterStatus.as…
#VoteBlue
You get to start #EarlyVoting this Friday for your AUGUST 14th #PrimaryElection!
Here's a THREAD of ALL your Democratic Candidates with photos & websites. Also Voter Info with links.
Check to see if you're registered here:
mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterStatus.as…
#VoteBlue
Voter Registration in Minnesota
Am I registered? mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterStatus.as…
Register ONLINE here:
mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterRegistrat…
Paper Application here: sos.state.mn.us/elections-voti…
You need to re-register if you have:
Moved, Changed Name or Have not voted at least once in last 4 years.
Am I registered? mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterStatus.as…
Register ONLINE here:
mnvotes.sos.state.mn.us/VoterRegistrat…
Paper Application here: sos.state.mn.us/elections-voti…
You need to re-register if you have:
Moved, Changed Name or Have not voted at least once in last 4 years.
Democratic Candidates #MN01 #MINNESOTA
[Tim Walz (DFL Candidate for Governor in 2018. ]
Dan Feehan
danfeehan.com
@danielfeehan
Colin Minehart
facebook.com/colin.minehart
4 GOP
VOTE AUGUST 14
#VoteBlue
[Tim Walz (DFL Candidate for Governor in 2018. ]
Dan Feehan
danfeehan.com
@danielfeehan
Colin Minehart
facebook.com/colin.minehart
4 GOP
VOTE AUGUST 14
#VoteBlue
