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Mar 24, 2019 20 tweets 24 min read Read on X
After almost 5 years of fight, #ISIS "caliphate" has been eliminated from de map. Many actors have contributed in the liberation of an 300000 Km^2 zone between Syria & Irak : (1) Image
- #ISF / #PMU : 150214 km^2 (52 %) [#Coalition & #IAF]
- #SAA : 81950 Km^2 (28 %) [#RuAF, #IRGC & #PMU]
- #SDF : 44054 Km^2 (15 %) [#Coalition]
- #FSA /#TFSA : 8866 Km^2 (3,2 %) [#Coalition & #TSK]
- #KF : 4687 Km^2 (1,6 %) [#Coalition]
- #LAF : 350 Km^2 (0,2 %) [#RuAF & #LAF]
With the end of #ISIS "caliphate" the terrorist fight enter in a new phase in #Syria.
After loose control of the villages & towns militants will increase their presence as sleeper cells around the country as we see in #Irak. Nowadays many areas still have #ISIS presence: (3)
#SAA restarted combing operations (red & orange) W. #Euphrates where #ISIS still have big presence (black: important presence & gray: light presence) in a desert area from #DeirEzzor until #Suwayda provinces. Despite numerous operations #ISIS still attacking army positions (4) ImageImageImage
With #CizireStorm operation finished #SDF will start a big combing operations E. #Euphrates part where #ISIS launched many attacks during last months.
Operation will have several stages :
- Euphrates river
- Khabur river
- #Hasakah / #Raqqa / Tel Abiad
- Ayn Issa / #Manbij
(5) Image
With #ISIS defeat #US will partially withdraw their forces from #Syria to #Irak . This will make #SDF - Syrian government negotiations more complicated & situation couldn't change during months (6) Image
Despite multiple reports about spring offensive in #Idlib status quo remains in the province with daily shelling & clashes in the front.
#HTS gets stronger everyday, imposing it's influence over the remaining groups. Nothing will happen before end April (Astana) (7)
[Current map] Image
During the next 3 months @Suriyakmaps will reduce twitter activities & will focus in Libyan - Yemen developments : (8)
With #Hudaydah ceasefire , #YSF focus in Northern fronts in order to secure border with Saudi Arabia. However results of the campaign during last 4 months aren't significants: (9) Image
- #Hajjah : #Houthis broke the almost-siege of Harad town which makes a big blown for #YSF
Then Hajur tribes uprising gives #YSF a new oportunnity to get control over most of #Hajjah. Despite heavy air support tribal forces couldn't hold their gains & uprising were stifled (10) Image
- #Sadah :
- #YSF advance in Baqim district continue very slowly due to abrupt terrain & heavy #Houthi resistance
- #YSF made good progress in kitaf front securing road to Buqa town which is an important supply route for their forces in Abū Jubārah valley. (11) ImageImage
-#Jawf :
- #YSF made advances in Dahl area & N.E. Hazm while #Houthis made some advances in Maton front & repelled several attacks towards their porsitions in Sabrayn (12) Image
- #Marib : #Houthis captured some positions in Sirwan front
- #Dahel : #YSF took control over positions around Damt town & some positions in Qatabah front (13) ImageImage
#Libya : 3 months after Southern operation started made signinficant developments in the country #LNA managed to capture all oilfields, secure border with Algeria & enter in most of important localities, sometimes with agreement with local groups & others through combats (14) ImageImage
However, South #Libya still not secured & operations has been slowed as #LNA was replaced mostly by military police & local tribes. Operation to secure border with Niger & Chad & to comb the desert around will take some time but are ongoing (15) [Current map] Image
The main reason for the redeployment of #LNA from South is the upcoming campaign N.W. #Libya in order to control the rest of the country, including the capital. Operation will have aproximate 4 stages wher will see political agreements & fierce combats : (16) Image
1. Secure border with #Tunisia : In this operation #LNA targets will be Wazin & Ras Ajdir border crossings, & the towns of Nalut, Jadu, Zuwarah, Sabratha, Zawiyah & Sorman it's expected troops will enter in the majority of this areas due to local support of #LNA by civilians (17) ImageImage
2. Sirte : Many reinforcements arrived to Jufra Airbase & during last weeks #LNA have taken positions around the city. #GNA reinforcements arrived from Misrata due to this movements; which means it won't be easy to enter in #Sirte (18) Image
3. Bani Walid : #LNA wants to enter in this town as first step to advance towards #Misrata & #Tripoli later. Also this movement could divert #GNA forces from other fronts & force many localities (specially Gharyan, Mezdah & Yafran) to reach an agreement without fire a bullet (19) Image
4. #Tripoli-#Khoms-#Misrata : It will be the last battle & the bloodiest of the war beacuse huge urban area of the cities. This is why can be cancelled due to political pressure in order to reach a peacefull agreeement.
(END) Image

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More from @Suriyakmaps

Oct 7, 2023
Taking advantage of the Jewish holy Sabbath, HAMAS launched a large-scale military operation that surprised Israeli forces. After an intense bombardment with missiles towards multiple positions the Gaza militants have launched a ground offensive in which they have taken several positions around the border and have reached several towns where multiple battles are taking place.
In response, #Israel has declared a state of war and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has reached a significant escalation that has not occurred for years.🇮🇱🇵🇸
Map: [ ]
Image
Situation at Gaza strip [7/10/2023] (18:00):
Palestinian Armed Groups managed to control more territories following the withdrawal of IDF, which were not unable to hold these positions. Clashes are taking place now in three important cities: Sederot, Askelon & Ofakim. Meanwhile IDF began to accumulate reinforcements in the southern district.
Map: [ ]
Image
The first hours of the Palestinian groups' offensive have proven to be a success, as they have captured a huge amount of military equipment and seized several military bases from the Israeli Army. This shows on the one hand how well prepared the Palestinian troops were, who had been preparing this attack for months; and on the other hand the overestimation of the Israeli intelligence services who were not able to detect this offensive. These events are a serious blow to Israel, which is considered a regional power in the Levant and boasts one of the best defense systems in the world, which has been circumvented by an unconventional army (militias).🇮🇱🇵🇸
Read 7 tweets
Aug 6, 2023
#Niger closed its airspace following the end of the ultimatum of the ECOWAS...
#Niger military junta rejected the arrival of tripartite delegation of ECOWAS, UN and AU. Meanwhile, Nigerien Army began the reinforcement of important places in preparation of what could happen in the next days. Situation remains tense. Thursday's ECOWAS meeting will be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Mali and Burkina Faso close ranks around Niger and demanded AU and UN to avoid any hypothetical ECOWAS military intervention in this country. Diplomacy will play a key role in the next days in order to avoid any regional conflict.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 1, 2022
Some time ago was pointed out in this account that the Ukrainian conflict should be seen as a confrontation between two powers in a third country, which had been invaded by one of the belligerents, thus undermining its international sovereignty. Prior to the invasion, Russia had
pursued a grey zone strategy in Ukraine by creating new national entities outside the Ukrainian state, such as the Donbas republics.
However, this type of strategy is not original to the Slavic giant. During the last 24 hours another conflict gained intensity in the Balkans again
concretly in Serbia, whose national sovereignty was weakened after the establishment of a grey zone in the Kosovo region with the creation of a state that is still partially recognised today. In this case, the actor in question implementing the strategy was NATO. The conflict of
Read 4 tweets
Feb 24, 2022
Nearby eight years since the Minsk agreements were reached the situation in eastern #Ukraine deteriorates again, the recent recognition of LPR & DPR by #Russia put an end of the previous agreement & set a new period of scalation in this conflict where military confrontation
ceased to be a remote possibility but an inevitable one. #Russia, as a superpower that is, uses the conflict in #Ukraine as a grey zone strategy, trying to grow its influence in the country, which was lost previously in 2014 in order to confront NATO/EU expansion towards east
Another strategy related with this one is the use of popular referendums in this regions in order as a way to legalize & legitimate the covert expansion as we saw in Crimea. Strategy in which Russia is not pioneer.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 22, 2022
Situation in Eastern #Ukraine following #Russia's recognition of #Luhansk & #Donetsk People's Republics. Image
Following the anouncement of a new operation #Russian forces entered in #Ukraine soil from four axis (Chernobil, Járkov, Chernígov & Crimea) taking control over many areas & towns. Current map situation after the fisrt day of combats.
#RussiaUkraineConflict ImageImage
Map situation in #Ukraine after the second day of combats.
#RussiaUkraineConflict ImageImage
Read 23 tweets
Feb 7, 2021
After a week of reinforcements & preparations, #Houthis/#Ansarullah restarted offensive to capture #Marib city. After some hours of combats, advances were reported in Meghdal, Jawf & Rahabah/Harib axis, while #YSF hold its positions in Sirwah, Raghwan & Jabal Murad axis so far.
Small #Houthi/#Ansarullah advances in Jawf, Raghwan, Sirwah & Jabal Murad axis. Battles are very hard in all Marib fronts as #YSF is putting heavy resistance. New map in the next hours...
Bloody day today between both sides in #Marib, specially Sirwah front. #Houthi/#Ansarullah retreated from some positions while #YSF is being very pressured in Jawf & northern Marib axis.
Read 61 tweets

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