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Edwin Hayward Profile picture
@edwinhayward
May 27, 2019 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Pro-Brexit parties (2019 definition) improved their vote share by 5.2% over 2014. Pro-Remain parties improved their vote share by 24%+ (Scottish Green data to come) Tories and Labour both got almost equally crushed. #RemainSurge #EUElectionResults2019 #EUElectionResults
Takeaways...
- BP got largest vote share, was rewarded with most MEPs.
- We're more polarised as a country than ever.
- Elections did not give Hard Brexit a "mandate".
- Elections did not demonstrate a burning desire to "get on with Brexit".
- Labour's dead if they don't change.
- There's no "middle" between Brexit and Remain. Those pushing for a Hard Brexit will never ever compromise. As a result, Remain won't either. Which comes back to my previous point about Labour.
- Tory MPs running for leader on "no deal" platform are bickering over 35% of vote.

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More from @edwinhayward

Edwin Hayward Profile picture
Apr 2
THREAD
There's a lot of hate-farming fuss about flags and what some see as the perversion of the original Union Jack.

Much of the fake rage has emanated from the Tory party, which is ironic given how many times they've bastardised it for their own use.

It's been a tree...

1/
Image
It's been brutally chopped in half, and used as part of a Jenga-inspired sculpture...

2/ Image
It's been cut in half and bent...

3/ Image
Read 15 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
Mar 14
The Tories have published their new definition of extremism. It includes 3 components.

It is well worth reading the full definition of each of the components (reproduced later in this thread) because they're extremely sweeping.
gov.uk/government/pub…
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Wonder how advocating to leave the ECHR (and indeed agitating to hold a referendum on doing so) squares with this?

After all, doing so would unquestionably strip us of numerous legal protections. Image
Does this preclude advocating for PR?

And what exactly does that last bullet mean?! Image
Read 8 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
Mar 11
WARNING: LONG THREAD.

With 30p Lee off to Reform, it's time to keep the receipts.

In reverse chronological order...

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Image

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Read 12 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
Jan 31
The Tories have just released a glossy 24-page brochure celebrating the 4th anniversary of Brexit.

As you would expect, it's not only false, it's so false that its mere existence wiped the word "true" from every dictionary in Britain.

So. Many. Lies.
gov.uk/government/pub…
Image
"And we have secured the most comprehensive deal that the EU has ever agreed to in its history."

Er, no. That would be their EU membership offering.

Our own trade deal with them is a mouse fart in a hurricane by comparison.
Let's take a random lie as an example: "Within the EU, the UK would not have been able to cut VAT on the installations of solar panels, heat pumps and insulation to zero"

And now let's go over to an expert...
theecoexperts.co.uk/solar-panels/v…
Image
Read 11 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
Nov 6, 2023
In case you missed it, today we've had the Daily Mail, Telegraph and Express all soiling themselves with glee at a report showing that trade since Brexit has been going well.

Only snag is, the report (by murky Tufton Street outfit the IEA) was quite literally a pack of lies...

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How did they pull their stupid stunt off? Quite simply.

1) They compared two different types of data (inflation-adjusted for the pre-Brexit period, unadjusted for the post-Brexit period) to draw false conclusions.

2) They got Kemi Badenoch to swallow the lot and talk about it.
Here's more info about the holes in the original IEA report the size of the Grand Canyon...
Read 5 tweets
Edwin Hayward Profile picture
Sep 28, 2023
THREAD: Two big takeaways from the most recent @YouGov survey.

1) The Tories are dead to anyone under 65. They might as well not exist for the under-50s. As for the under-25s...

So, unless there's a seismic political change, it's only a matter of time until they're toast.

1/3 Image
2) We're rejoining the EU, period. The only question is when.

Can't clock up "wrong to vote to leave the EU" numbers like this and expect to stay out. (For anyone under 50, Rejoining's a no-brainer.)

That's like trying to hold back the Atlantic Ocean with your hands.

2/3 Image
So the death of the Tories and the death of Brexit both lie in our future.

Whether both end up going together in a wild Thelma and Louise moment, or one goes down fighting to preserve the other, is still an open question.

But it's clear they will vanish from this Earth.

3/3
Read 6 tweets

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