, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
As with the NAFTA negotiations, the China trade talks gives the win to Pres Trump. Any delay means Trump wins. He is fine with leaving it in limbo. The uncertainty creates risk that risk is factored into future spending and investment decisions by companies. The longer this....
....drags out the more companies that will decide it's better to build in USA, Taiwan, Vietnam, India etc. The longer it drags out with the threat of crushing tariffs over their head the more companies will move out of China to get rid of the risk.
Trump left the current tariffs alone. Reminding everyone that more will come if talks don't work out. The two sides are so far apart, I doubt it can be worked out before the elections. Each day, week, month without a conclusion means more capital flight from China and less....
....capital too China. At the same time to get the "pause" China had to agree to buy food from USA that means even more capital flowing from China. So a "pause" is a big win for Trump/USA and a loss for Xi/China.
The agreement was structured in such a way that China was able to save face with the student question and resumption of tech sales to Hauwei but notice it says nothing about them being able to sell their product to the west.
It also appears Trump might have gotten NK out of the deal from China. We will see tonight if that is true. Trump had the power to utterly crush China's economy last night. He picked a different path that should cause something close to that if China continues to play games.
The different path will take more time, it gives China numerous chances of saving itself and will harm the USA and it's friends less from a sudden shock that tariffs would bring. So, we wait and see. As we wait, remember China is harmed daily by the delay while the USA is not.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to unseen1
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!