Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #CAsen

Most recents (8)

The interesting thing about Steve Garvey entering #CASen and running a well-funded campaign is that this changes the calculus for the Democrats running.

Garvey likely advances to the general, so the round-1 leader between Schiff/Porter/Lee would be the de-facto next Senator.
*However*, if Garvey didn't get in, you could see a scenario in which a Dem-on-Dem second round would result in all kinds of coalitions being formed between the voters of the eliminated candidates.

Like, if it's Schiff vs Porter, who would Barbara Lee's supporters break for?
And so if Garvey gets in and locks up the GOP vote, that means the first round becomes way more important for the Democratic candidates, because whoever leads this one would likely be the only Dem candidate advancing. Which may result in totally different campaign strategies.
Read 4 tweets
It's that time of the year again...

🚨 The first fundraising thread of 2023 🚨

#CASen: Rep. Katie Porter (D-47) announced raising $4.5 million this quarter.

This has the potential to be the most expensive Senate race of all time
#AZSen: Politico scoops that Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I) will report "more than" $9.9 million cash on hand entering April. Normally, candidates announce what they raise, not what they have on hand, so this was a bit different
#AZSen: Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) announced raising $3.7 million in Q1 2023. No cash on hand number provided. Comes after Sinema camp says they're entering April with $9.9 million cash on hand
Read 5 tweets
California 2022 Governor and US Senate election results by congressional district (1 of 2): Image
California 2022 Governor and US Senate election results by congressional district (2 of 2): Image
Barbara Lee's #ca12 was California's most Democratic district (Newsom 90.1%, Padilla 90.7%) followed by ex-Speaker Nancy Pelosi's #ca11 (Newsom 86.1%, Padilla 86.5%).

Speaker Kevin McCarthy's #ca20 was CA's most Republican district (Dahle 69.5%, Meuser 67.7%) #cagov #CASEN
Read 5 tweets
Both Katie Porter and I have something in common (in that neither of us will ever be a US Senator).
OK a more detailed read on #CASen that isn't just a flippant comment:

Porter's odds, I'd say, are really around 10%. Schiff is going to be *the* SoCal candidate, beats Porter with every one of her strong demographics, and has *way* more money than anyone realizes.
Lee and Khanna will run from NorCal. I do not think Breed runs, but if she does then she becomes the favorite (or co-favorite, with Schiff). Ultimately, I think that Porter would have a way better shot if Adam Schiff wasn't running, but he is, and that's a problem for her.
Read 5 tweets
New from me @TheSpectator:

The REAL @katieporteroc scandal that literally everyone is ignoring is the fact it took an anonymous instagram account, @DWS________, to do the job that the Capitol Hill press corps *exists to do*

Here we go...

thespectator.com/topic/katie-po…

(1/xx)
#CA47's @katieporteroc, darling of the liberal media, is having a rough couple of weeks. The congresswoman has recently been accused of: firing an employee who allegedly gave her Covid; using racist language, and fostering a hostile workplace!

thespectator.com/topic/katie-po…

(2/xx)
These are explosive allegations to be levied against @katieporteroc, yet the general public would NEVER have heard of any of them were it not for @DWS________, an anonymous Instagram account that did the job of the *entire* DC press corps.

thespectator.com/topic/katie-po…

(3/xx)
Read 34 tweets
¿Eres usuario o usuaria de #R y trabajas con datos del @INE_Chile o de otros servicios públicos? En este hilo te enseñamos cómo usar el paquete #calidad, desarrollado por profesionales de nuestra institución y que ya está en #CRAN. Para instalar el paquete tienes dos opciones: Image
...Dentro del #paquete encontrarás algunos #datasets, los que estarán disponibles una vez que el paquete #calidad esté cargado en el ambiente con el siguiente comando: Image
...¡Vayamos ahora con un ejemplo! Si queremos calcular el porcentaje de #pobreza, según sexo y región, debemos crear una variable #dummy con el siguiente código: Image
Read 6 tweets
Ok gang, I am starting a Senate candidate Q3 fundraising thread here!

Lt. Gov. @JohnFetterman raised $2.7 million and ended the quarter with $4.2 million cash on hand. #PASen
#OHSen: @mh4oh raised $533k in the first six weeks of her campaign (she announced in August). She faces an uphill challenge in the primary against Rep. @TimRyan (D-13).
#AZSen: Thiel capital executive @bgmasters raised $1 million in Q3, per his campaign.

His boss, megadonor Peter Thiel, has pledged to spend $10 million on his behalf through a super PAC.
Read 6 tweets

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