Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #CeterumCenseo

Most recents (7)

Meidän pitäisi selvittää perusteellisesti, kuinka taloudellista taloutemme oikeasti on. Ettei koko kansantaloudelle kävisi kuten turvealalle.

Maailma muuttuu vauhdilla. Emmekä tiedä, mitä se meinaa.

Otetaanpa esimerkki: miten kannattavaa #metsäteollisuus oikeastaan on? 1/ Metsäsektorin nettoarvonlis...
Laskin yo. kuvaan, miten paljon Suomen koko metsäsektori yhteensä olisi vuonna 2018 tuottanut arvonlisää, mikäli hakkuiden ja puun käytön aiheuttamat kasvihuonekaasupäästöt huomioitaisiin jollain hinnalla.

Arvonlisässä ovat mukana sekä suorat että epäsuorat vaikutukset. 2/
Arvonlisä kertoo siis sen, miten paljon toimiala tuottaa lisäarvoa - siis paljonko yhteensä omistajat, työntekijät ja yhteiskunta hyötyvät, kun työn, materiaalien, energian jne. kustannukset vähennetään tuotoista. Konsulttiyhtiö EY oli tämän laskenut. 3/ metsateollisuus.fi/uutishuone/met…
Read 26 tweets
One more warning from the history of Finland's uneasy alliance with Nazis:

I believe almost every self-styled geopolitical "realist" could today ally with a monster just like Hitler.

It's crucial to understand that the Hitler of 1940 wasn't the Hitler we know. 1/
In 1940, when the Finnish leadership quietly decided to ally with Hitler, the greatest horrors we associate with the Nazis and Hitler hadn't even been decided yet.

Mass murders of Jews began in June 1941, and the Final Solution was formulated only in January 1942. 2/
In wartime, rumors and propaganda abound. Full knowledge of the horrors of the Nazi regime wasn't available until after the war.

In 1940, Hitler was a fascist demagogue who had become a very successful statesman and wartime leader. Dismissing his detractors was very easy. 3/
Read 17 tweets
A short thread about #Finland in the Second World War with a lesson from history: why solidarity matters, and it's imperative for #democracy that democracies help threatened democracies.

As many people know, Finland was a de facto Nazi ally in the Second World War. But why? 1/
Finland had been a reasonably stable though imperfect democracy before the war. A fascist coup attempt was defeated in 1932, and the fascist-aligned party was outlawed alongside the communist party.

Finland had also been leaning towards Western democracies, not Nazi Germany. 2/ President of Finland P. E. Svinhufvud reading his radio addr
Without doubt, Finnish politics skewed to the right, and many did like Germany and/or fascism. (These weren't entirely the same thing. Some were pro-German but disliked the Nazis. On the other hand, many Germanophiles were at least initially sympathetic to Hitler.) 3/
Read 37 tweets
How the Western aid to #Ukraine helps even outside the battlefield, and why the West should begin credible preparations to intervene directly?

Finland's Winter War (1939-40) provides an interesting historical case study of a somewhat comparable situation. Let's take a look! 1/
Many have noticed the eerie parallels between the Winter War and Ukraine's struggle today. Like Putin, Stalin was convinced an invasion would be easy. And like Putin, Stalin committed massive forces once the defenders refused to budge.

And like Ukraine, Finland fought alone. 2/
However, foreign aid and _offers of aid_ to Finland had a crucial impact.

The war began after Finns had refused Stalin's demands that would've drawn Finland into the Soviet orbit, like the Baltic countries. Stalin's war aim was evidently a total conquest of such an upstart. 3/
Read 26 tweets
Tuli tuossa viikonloppuna mietittyä taas maanpuolustusasioita. Venäjän hyökkäys Ukrainaan laittoi meidän vanhan turvallisuuspolitiikkamme perusteet monelta osin roskiin, ja seuraavan hallituksen pitää tehdä tästä johtopäätöksiä. NATO on nyt tarpeen mutta se yksin ei riitä.

1/
Turvallisuuspolitiikkamme lähtöoletuksia olivat pitkään seuraavat:

1) Venäjä ei voisi keskittää suurinta osaa voimistaan meitä vastaan.
2) Puolustusvoimat voisivat saada aikaan olosuhteet neuvottelurauhalle torjumalla ensimmäisen iskun ja aiheuttamalla viholliselle tappioita. 2/
Kummatkin näistä oletuksista ovat osoittautuneet virheellisiksi. (Oletus 1 oli jo Talvisodan kokemusten myötä hyvin kyseenalainen, mutta...)

Venäjä keskitti Ukrainaan n. 75 % kaikista joukoistaan, eikä se näytä välittävän hirvittävistäkään tappioista juuri lainkaan. 3/
Read 29 tweets
#CeterumCenseo Russia must be defeated.

Europe and the rest of the democratic world should collectively realize, soonest, that #Ukraine has now put #democracy and its idea of collective security to a test: can autocratic states overrun smaller democracies one by one, or not?
Democracies are inherently not well suited for territorial and resource aggrandizement. But autocracies can be.

On the other hand, democracies ARE inherently well-suited for human rights and liberty. They are good in itself, but also promote scientific and economic development.
Democracy prevailed in the 1900s largely thanks to these advantages and the happy accident that the resources of the United States remained broadly speaking on the side of democracy when it really mattered.
Read 15 tweets

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