Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #SakiAirBase

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Part two of my #cmo research into the #SakiAirBase attack, brief thread.

As suggested by @CommandDevTeam, Iskander is possibly the closest to the "Грім-2" by #ukraine . So I am using a 9M723 Iskander-M in this turn.

The intial #ATACMS was inconclusive

@CommandDevTeam The issue that we have is that the #ATACMS simulation shows that the "impact" type, "no warning, no pictures of missles, sudden explosion", can be explained by the hypersonic, vertical impact of SRBM.
What can not be explained is the flight time (too short) and "twin impact".
@CommandDevTeam This is the data of the missle used in this Test #2, and an overview of the "overall situation".
Exactly like yesterday, Launch at Odessa by #ukraine, Target #SakiAirBase , missle used Iskander M to "simulate" the Ukrainian HRIM-2.
Read 8 tweets
I have checked the possible #ATACMS attack on #SakiAirBase in #CMO, which is never perfect, but always a very good guess.
Assumed launch site south of Odessa, launch time 10:00 ZULU/12:00 local.
(short thread)!
#ukraine #ukrainewar
This is an attempt to understand flight times, speeds and possible impact angles and speeds, as we have seen fairly large craters.
We are using MGM-140 #ATACMS Block IA, has multiple warhead options, the fact that submunitions are chosen here is merely a cosmetic choice.
Also make sure to head over to @rrichcord on his analysis and @OSINTua for sat pictures.
Read 10 tweets
Update #Ukraine
Im Überblick:
- heftige Explosionen auf Saki-Militärflughafen auf der Krim, Ursachen umstritten;
- ukr. "Cherson-Offensive" anscheinend abgeblasen;
- Selenski klagt über stockende Finanzhilfen und spricht von "Verbrechen oder Fehler".
Thread 👇
(1/25)
Auf dem Saki-Militärflughafen nahe der Ortschaft #Novofedorivka auf der #Krim ereigneten sich am Dienstag heftige Explosionen.
Die Druckwelle verwüstete Teile der Ortschaft.
Am Mittwoch war die Rede von einem Toten und 14 Verletzten.
#Saky #SakiAirBase
(2/25)
Die Gründe für die Explosionen waren von Anfang an extrem umstritten, die Angaben bleiben widersprüchlich.
Verschiedenste Versionen kursieren, was passiert sein könnte - angefangen mit Raketenschlägen über Sabotageakte bis hin zu einem Unfall mit Munition.
#Ukraine #Krim
(3/25)
Read 28 tweets

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