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Future of Russian Oil: 5 Key Trends

#Russia's oil industry transitions from chaos to relative stability in 2023, with India emerging as the largest seaborne buyer. Let's explore the industry's outlook for the next 2-3 years, from refinery upgrades to a shadow tanker fleet.πŸ‘‡ Image
Russia's refinery upgrades increase gasoline production

Despite overall throughputs not reaching pre-sanction levels, there's a hidden growth story. Jan-April 2023 saw record-high monthly #gasoline production. Dec 2022-Feb 2023 saw the highest-ever production rate of 124 kt/day.
Operational setbacks for refinery upgrades

Nizhny Novgorod refinery faces setbacks due to fire. Moscow, Yaroslavl, Novoshakhtinsk refineries to halt fuel #oil output by 2025-2026, reducing production by 150 kbd. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί-πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ conflict hinders Kirishi refinery's modernization.
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The EU #electricity market experienced a weekend filled with unexpected twists & turns. Low demand, still 9-10% below pre-crisis levels, combined with strong solar production, created a surplus of #energy in most countries, pushing wholesale market prices into negative territory. Image
On Sunday, May 28th, the price on the EpexSpot exchange reached €400/MWh in the Netherlands.
This surplus affected the Day-Ahead exchanges, Intraday markets, and balancing mechanism, highlighting the complexity of managing transmission system surpluses.
At Kpler Power, we forecast demand, renewable generation and market prices, to better anticipate the supply-demand balance in the short, medium and long term.

#kpler #kplerpower
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