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A handful of reporters have reached out to me about Texas turnout today and I want to clear something up:

Biden did not underperform with Texas Latinos.

Dems increased vote share in Cameron, Hidalgo, Webb, and El Paso from 2016-2020.

Here we go...

#txlege #tx2020 #txdem

When you look at counties with an expanded electorate, such as Latino-majority counties, it's important to consider the actual vote share and *not just the percentage.*

Along the border, BOTH Democrats AND Republicans increased their votes:

Cameron
2020 - D 64k, R 49k
2016 - D 59k, R 29k

Hidalgo
20 - D 128k, R 90k
16 - D 119k, R 49k

Webb (still reporting)
20 - D 32k, R 19k
16 - D 42k, R 13k

El Paso
20 - D 169k, R 81k
16 - D 148k, R 55k

Good morning! Anything big happen yesterday? lol

Ok here are some thoughts from Texas...

#txlege #tx2020 #txdem #txsen #turntexasblue #progresstexas @ProgressTX

Biden got 5.2 million votes in Texas, which adds 1.3 mil from 2016. The last three presidential margins here:

2012 = 12 points
2016 = 9 points
2020 = 6 points

The revolution will not happen overnight, but it will happen over time.

Biden carried Texas urban counties 2.5 mil to 1.5 mil (was 1.95mil to 1.23mil in 2016).

Dems are also neutralizing the suburban stronghold Republicans enjoyed for years; 2.6 million votes were cast and R's lead by 14k overall (they led with 200k in 2012).

@blueactiondems

Here's what we're watching in Texas:

- Will turnout reach 11 million? 12 million?

- Dems need 9 seats for a majority in the 150-seat legislature

- Dems need 5 seats for a majority in the congressional delegation

#txlege #txdem #txsen #tx2020 #TurnTexasBlue

/1

Key counties to watch in Texas:

Big urban counties are also base Democratic:

Bexar (San Antonio)
Dallas
El Paso
Harris (Houston)
Tarrant (Fort Worth)
Travis (Austin)

/2

The suburban swing counties in Texas are:

DFW area: Collin, Denton, Tarrant
Central Texas: Hays & Williamson
Houston area: Fort Bend
SE Texas: Jefferson
Coastal: Nueces

/3

Breaking: A federal judge rejected a request by a conservative activist and three Republican candidates to toss out nearly 127,000 votes cast at drive-thru polling sites in Harris County, Texas’ most populous, and largely Democratic, county. bit.ly/2TJNmHI

The ruling by U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen, a George W. Bush appointee, follows two earlier decisions by the all-Republican Texas Supreme Court rejecting similar efforts by Republicans challenging the validity of drive-thru voting in the county.

Although Hanen's ruling is still expected to be appealed, it appears to clear the way for counting of the early voting drive-thru ballots on #ElectionDay.

NEW: With the early voting period finished, 9.7 million Texans have cast ballots, crushing previous early voting totals in the state and setting Texas on a course for record turnout in the 2020 election. bit.ly/3kLQMFQ

Graph showing that early voting turnout was up in Texas as w

So far, 57.3% of registered voters in Texas have cast ballots, just shy of the total turnout of 59.4% in 2016.

The state has added 1.8 million registered voters since the 2016 election. bit.ly/2HwVVCS

By the time all the #ElectionDay votes and mail-in ballots are counted, Texas will likely hit record-breaking turnout levels this election, surpassing 60% of registered voters for the first time since the early 1990s. bit.ly/2TIv49Y

1/ Texas has seen a head-spinning barrage of voting-related lawsuits in recent months, and the state — particularly Harris County — has become the epicenter of a voting rights battle.

Here is what voters need to know.

2/ In Harris County, Republican leaders and activists have churned out lawsuits, unsubstantiated specters of voter fraud and official state orders in their bid to halt expanded voting access during the pandemic. bit.ly/2J9b7XB

3/ Control of the White House depends on Republican domination of Texas and, in turn, containing a voting surge in Harris County — the nation's third most populous county, which is only solidifying as a Democratic stronghold. bit.ly/3kAegh2

2020 Electoral College Forecast Map
Donald Trump vs Joe Biden
October 25~ 2020.
My Analysis Post: statespoll.com/post/632919336…
Post will continue to be updated.
#ElectoralMap #ElectoralCollegeMap2020 #Election2020
#Forecast #Election2020Map #ElectoralCollege

Wisconsin: Trump vs Biden
Gravis , 10/23. 677 LV.
My Analysis Post: statespoll.com/post/632918928…
#Election2020 #Wisconsin2020 #WI2020 #swingstates
(Fixed error)

Nevada: Tilt R.
I don't get it why ppl are saying NV is Lean R on my map.

1/ Early voting is up in parts of Texas. That has some people excited.

But it’s far too early to tell whether that trend will continue through Election Day or what it means for Democrats’ hopes to flip the state. bit.ly/2SVMsYs

2/ Here’s what we know: In the state’s largest 10 counties, home to 57% of registered voters in Texas, we found that at least 425,028 ballots were cast in-person on Tuesday.
At least 224,122 were sent in by mail.

That’s 151k more votes cast than in 2016 in those same counties.

3/ From 2016 to 2020, there was a slight increase in first-day turnout in the 10 biggest counties — 5.82% to 6.71%. bit.ly/2SVMsYs

1/ Today is the first day of early voting in Texas!

Early voting runs through Oct 30. Election day is November 3.

Check out our guide and make a plan to vote. #tx2020
bit.ly/33QsKlB

2/ Where can I vote early?

You are allowed to vote at any polling location in the county you are registered to vote in during early voting. Check the Texas Secretary of State’s website for polling locations in your county.
bit.ly/1KR2WEl

3/ What do I need to bring to the polls?

A valid photo ID. There are 7 types accepted including your driver’s license or passport.

OR an accepted alternative form of identification.

Check out this story for a full list of accepted IDs.
bit.ly/33RAULZ

Texas suburbs are ground zero in the fight for the White House, control of Congress, and the fight for the leadership of the Texas State House. See the results of Reform Austin’s latest poll. #txlege #tx2020 1/
reformaustin.org/elections/ra-n…

RA News polled 22 battleground House districts, incl. 5 won by Dems in 2018 (#HD45, #HD65, #HD102, #HD132, #HD135) & 17 that House Ds identified as targets in 2020. The districts are mostly suburban & exurban in the Austin, Houston, DFW & Killeen–Temple metros. #txlege 2/

If the election were to be held today, President Trump would win in only 5 out of 22 districts polled by RA News. Former VP Joe Biden would take 7 districts. The remainder are a toss-up, with neither candidate having the support of at least 50% of those polled. #txlege 3/

🚨 Today is the last day to register to vote in Texas! 🚨

Check out our voter resource guide to make sure you’re prepared for the election: bit.ly/33QsKlB #tx2020 #txlege

You can’t register to vote online to vote in Texas.

You can print out the online application here and mail it to the voter registrar in your county: vrapp.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp

*Applications must be postmarked by the Oct. 5 deadline.*

You can also find a voter registration application at county voter registrars’ offices, post offices, government offices or high schools.

🚨 The last day to register to vote in Texas is Oct. 5 🚨

That’s two weeks away.

We’ve compiled everything you need to know about the general election and voting during the pandemic in Texas. #tx2020 #txlege bit.ly/33QsKlB

2/ You can request an application by mail or find one at county voter registrars’ offices, post offices, government offices or high schools. You can also print out the application. Applications must be postmarked by the Oct. 5 deadline. webservices.sos.state.tx.us/vrapp/index.asp

3/ To check whether you’re already registered to vote, visit the Texas secretary of state’s website and log in using one of these ways:

+ Texas driver’s license number & DOB
+ Full name, DOB & the county you reside in
+ DOB & Voter Unique Identifier

teamrv-mvp.sos.texas.gov/MVP/mvp.do

New: The Texas Supreme Court has temporarily blocked Harris County from sending mail-in ballot applications to all its voters for the November election. #tx2020 bit.ly/3lJ70k4

Harris County Clerk Chris Hollins announced last month that the county would send applications to its more than 2.4 million registered voters in an effort to make it easier to participate in the election due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sued Harris County on Monday after it refused to drop the plans. bit.ly/3brXGw3

With 53% of polling locations reporting, MJ Hegar was ahead of Royce West 52% to 48% in the Democratic runoff to challenge U.S. Sen. John Cornyn. bit.ly/2CyznPF

"Votes are still being counted — we don't want to get ahead of ourselves," Hegar told supporters shortly before 9:30 p.m.

West and his campaign, meanwhile, said the runoff was still too close to call and that they expected it to come down to about 10,000 votes.

Watch results here: bit.ly/2CByPZe #txsen #tx2020

The polls are closed in Texas, folks.

Bookmark our results page to follow along: bit.ly/2CByPZe

#tx2020 #txsen #txlege

Reminder: Results from the Secretary of State tonight will not include mail-in ballots accepted after Election Day.

Note: *Polls in El Paso and Hudspeth Counties are still open until 7 p.m. MT.*

Watch here as results begin to roll in: bit.ly/2CByPZe

Some recent polls show a competitive race between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden in Texas.

We reported in June on how Biden’s performance here could reshape the state’s politics: #tx2020 bit.ly/2CBo219

A new @dallasnews/@UTTyler poll shows Biden with a five-point lead over Trump in Texas. bit.ly/3gO37XI

More recent poll results here, via @CNNPolitics: cnn.it/3iY40yP

THREAD: Too few voting machines. Technical failures of aging equipment. Insufficient training of election workers. Long lines that only grew.

Here’s how Harris County's election day fumbles disproportionately affected communities of color. #tx2020 bit.ly/2PQyGoG

2/ Excessive wait times for voting in Texas on #SuperTuesday were not limited to one area.

But Texas Southern University, a historically black university in Houston, easily saw the worst of it. bit.ly/2PQyGoG

3/ Wait times for voters in the queue at @texassouthern extended past the four-hour, then five-hour, then six-hour marks.

Some spent nearly an entire workday waiting in line, almost seven hours after polls closed. bit.ly/2PQyGoG

1/ Pierce Bush, the grandson of the late President George H.W. Bush, lost on #SuperTuesday.

Was it a family name that doomed his congressional run, or was it his campaigning? bit.ly/2Q0oEBF

#TexasPrimary #tx2020 #VoteTexas

2/ Top political scientists said the outcome may be an indicator of the Bush family's waning clout.

But they also said it is equally suggestive of Bush's overall political strategy. bit.ly/2Q0oEBF

#TexasPrimary #tx2020 #VoteTexas

3/ Pierce Bush was a late entrant into an already crowded primary, though he quickly outraised his 14 opponents and eventually won a key endorsement.

But even his entrance was somewhat of a surprise: He had considered running for a different district. bit.ly/2Q0oEBF

1/ Texas polls closed at 7 p.m. in most of the state.

It's 3-and-a-half hours later — and some people are STILL in line to vote.

#TexasPrimary #tx2020 #txlege #SuperTuesday

bit.ly/39mgLxV

2/ Voters in Dallas and Houston and on college campuses late Tuesday evening reported remaining in line for more than two hours — with some still waiting behind dozens of voters ahead of them. bit.ly/39mgLxV

3/ The long lines stretched out of elementary schools, through public libraries and wrapped around the LBJ Student Center at Texas State University. bit.ly/39mgLxV

1/ There are a lot of Democrats running in the primary to challenge U.S. Sen. John Cornyn.

To help voters make sense of the race, we asked the top candidates 11 questions. Here's what they said.

#TexasPrimary #SuperTuesday #tx2020 #VoteTexas

bit.ly/2vqQ24H

2/ Do you support a proposal pushed by Beto O’Rourke for a mandatory assault weapon buyback program?

@BellForSenate & @cristinafortx: Yes
@AmandaForTexas, @mjhegar & @RoyceWestTX: Supports a ban on assault rifles but not mandatory buybacks. #TexasPrimary

bit.ly/2vqQ24H

@BellForSenate @cristinafortx @AmandaForTexas @mjhegar @RoyceWestTX 3/ What fixes should Congress prioritize to improve the U.S. health care system?

@BellForSenate, @AmandaForTexas, @mjhegar & @RoyceWestTX: Establish a public health insurance option

@cristinafortx: Implement Medicare for All

#TexasPrimary #SuperTuesday bit.ly/2vqQ24H

1/ 🚨IT IS ELECTION DAY IN TEXAS🚨

Here's everything you need to know.

Retweet to help inform a friend!

#TexasPrimary #tx2020 #txlege #SuperTuesday

bit.ly/38jdZbh

2/ All Texans’ ballots will include the statewide races, but the rest of the races on there will be determined by where you live.

Enter your address here to learn more about your ballot.

bit.ly/2VMzzTb

3/ Polling locations are NOT always the same on election day as they are during early voting.

Check the open polling locations in your area before you head to cast your ballot. bit.ly/2VMzzTb

🚨TODAY IS THE LAST DAY YOU CAN VOTE EARLY IN TEXAS🚨

Here's everything you need to know about voting in Texas. Follow this thread for resources + guides + more.

RT to help inform a friend!

#txlege #tx2020 #TexasPrimary #SuperTuesday bit.ly/2uuXlaZ

2/ Put in your address here and we’ll show you the races you can vote in.

All Texans’ ballots will include the statewide races, but the rest of the races on there will be determined by where you live!

bit.ly/39Dy9xU

3/ This guide will also help you learn what you need to know about showing up to the polls, including what to bring with you (and what not to wear). bit.ly/39Dy9xU

Early voting ends tomorrow. Here's how turnout in the first 8 days of early voting in the primary compares with elections past in the state's biggest counties: bit.ly/2PkaIC0

#txlege #tx2020

Our early voting tracker has been updated with 9 days of early voting figures. Check them out: bit.ly/2PkaIC0 #tx2020

And here are our tips for interpreting early voting statistics accurately. #txlege #tx2020

https://twitter.com/TexasTribune/status/1232823130697105408

1/ Early voting figures can be confusing and easy to misunderstand.

Here are the facts you need to know about turnout in Texas so far. #tx2020 bit.ly/2PkaIC0

2/ First: Is early voting surging compared to 2016?

Too soon to make any bold claims.

Assumptions based on vote totals alone are problematic because they don't account for changes in population or the # of registered voters.

3/ That's why we're tracking % turnout in the state’s biggest counties rather than raw numbers, and comparing 2020 turnout to elections past — it's all relative.

(Percent turnout is calculated by dividing # of ballots cast by # of registered voters). bit.ly/2PkaIC0