As of year one. This was where Trump was heading re foreign policy. washingtonpost.com/graphics/polit…

The goal appears to be reverse Obama-era agreements to de-escalate, favor Russian and Middle East right wing strongmen, erode human rights/eco positions and reignite long standing conflicts with minor entities like Cuba, North Korea, Iran and Venezuela. theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…

None of these policy realignments have been successful or generated mutual benefit. Today we have numerous militant nations, regions and groups under pressure with little to lose since normal avenues are shut. The perfect conditions for a Black Swan Event. blackswanevents.org/?page_id=26

Three events come to mind. Bay of Pigs and Kennedy assassination, Iranian hostage crisis and Iran Contra and arrest of the Blind Sheikh and 9/11. Most people would be hard pressed to predict or even link seemingly unrelated events. politico.com/magazine/story…

The blind sheikh, Egyptian Omar Abdel-Rahman. The cause of 9/11 and rejuvenation of Saudi-funded al Qaeda which launched our forever war in Afghanistan. cnn.com/2017/02/19/opi…

The Iran Contra affair was a deniable operation to free hostages by selling weapons to Iran but ended up funding much of the contrived Contra violence in Central America against Marxists. An event which led to violent instability and the migration crisis. pbs.org/wgbh/americane…

Many of these same disgraced people are currently involved with the Trump administration and promote the idea of absolute solutions based on religious, special interest or delusional beliefs....without concern for secondary, tertiary or unpredictable consequences.