Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #CA01

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2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander

A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)

To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter ImageImageImageImage
Methodology:

I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf

Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-… ImageImageImage
Read 111 tweets
NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
Read 38 tweets
First read: this "starting point" map for the CA commission is decent for Rs. It eliminates a Dem seat in LA County (as expected) and imperils Harder (D) in #CA10, while leaving all incumbent 11 Rs w/ a path to victory (though Nunes & esp. Issa would face much tougher races).
Notable shifts in this early "visualization" (North):

#CA01 LaMalfa (R) - Trump +15 to +6
#CA04 McClintock (R) - Trump +10 to +8
#CA07 Bera (D) - Biden +14 to +4
#CA10 Harder (D) - Biden +3 to Trump +1
#CA21 Valadao (R) - Biden +11 to +9
#CA22 Nunes (R) - Trump +5 to Biden +3
Notable shifts in this early "visualization" (South):

#CA25 Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to +12
#CA36 Ruiz (D) - Biden +14 to +8
#CA39 Kim (R) - Biden +10 to +8
#CA45 Porter (D) - Biden +11 to +15
#CA48 Steel (R) - Biden +2 to Trump +1
#CA50 Issa (R) - Trump +8 to Biden +6
Read 4 tweets
Now that Kern and Ventura Counties have posted their full results, some quick takeaways from California's House races.
#CA25
POTUS '16
Clinton 50.32%
Trump 43.65%

POTUS '20
Biden 53.95%
Trump 43.85%

CNG '18
Hill 54.37%
Knight 45.63%

CNG '20
Garcia 50.05%
Smith 49.95%
Interestingly, the conservative Ventura County portion of #CA25, which houses the Reagan Library, voted 49.4% /44.44% for Trump over Clinton in 2016, but narrowly went 48.93%/48.86% to Biden by 51 votes this year, while Mike Garcia carried it 54.23%/45.77%.
Read 13 tweets
In less than one hour, the only forum that will be held between Rep. LaMalfa and I will be airing live, and you will have the opportunity to take part in this critical part of our democratic process by learning about your candidates for #CA01. (1/4)
I am ready to share my vision for making our communities better, stronger, and more resilient with you. Together, I know we can live into our North State vision and values. (2/4)
Here’s how to watch live:

⭐️ Tune into the League of Women Voters of Western Nevada County Facebook Page and event (below) for a live-stream of the forum (@LWVWNC)
⭐️ Turn your TV to channel to Comcast Channel 18 (3/4)

facebook.com/events/1275978…
Read 5 tweets
Thread of progressive candidates (Updated 9/30) including #NotMeUs and some combo #NotMeUs + #YangGang! These are candidates in competitive races (🔺@GOP ; 🔹Dem; 🌻Green ▫️other Independent) & I’ll be adding to (sometimes editing) thread #Election2020 
⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
@Bradshaw2020🔹is an amazing candidate who won a shocking victory @USSenate primary #TN! Gen Against @BillHagertyTN🔺! Endorsed by @BernieSanders! #NotMeUs #Election2020 
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/marquit…
📌Volunteer: mobilize.us/bradshawforsen…
📌Website: marquitabradshaw.com
Read 38 tweets
We have 44 days until the general election! This thread will have a list of vetted candidates who support Medicare For All & a Green New Deal! Let's flip the Senate Progressive & Expand the Squad in Congress! Please Donate or Volunteer! #FlipTheSenate #ExpandTheSquad

⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
.@paulajean2020 is running for Senate in WV against Shelley Moore Capito. While being blacked out by the media, Paula Jean has a real shot of Winning this Senate Seat. She's endorsed by the sunrise movement & Bernie Sanders along with many others! paulajean.com
.@Bradshaw2020 is running for Senate in Tennessee. She won her primary with a surprising upset & now is ready to bring an upset to the General too. She's endorsed by the Sunrise movement, @marwilliamson, Elizabeth Warren & many more. marquitabradshaw.com
Read 34 tweets
We’re now officially two months away from Election Day. That’s 8 weeks, 56 days or 1,344 hours. No matter how you slice it, we are rapidly approaching a crossroads for the North State. (1/6)
We started this movement nearly 3 years ago because we wanted to create a better future for our communities. We have kept this fight going because we want the leaders who represent us to reflect our North State values and vision, and to keep our interests at the forefront. (2/6)
Our fight for effective leadership has grown exponentially, and I could not be more proud of what we have accomplished and created together.

Your passion, your grit, and your resolve empower me every single day to be the advocate you deserve in Congress. (3/6)
Read 6 tweets
.@RepDonBacon (R-#NE02): "This (USPS) Bill was not perfect, but the critical role the postal service plays in our country and the fact the postal system will become insolvent next year led me to vote in support." bacon.house.gov/news/documents…
.@RepBost (R-#IL12): "While Congress approved additional funding today with my support, I still share President Trump’s concerns over the process in place for counting an unprecedented number of votes by mail." bost.house.gov/media-center/p…
Rep. @VernBuchanan (R-#FL16): "Millions of Americans, especially seniors, depend on a healthy and functioning Postal Service. I voted for the bill today to make sure the Postal Service has the resources to deliver the mail."
Read 17 tweets
As climate change progresses, we see the continued stress on trees & a proliferation of pine beetles, resulting in sudden death of trees. I don’t live next to nat’l or state forest. All around me are privately owned lots. I’m on an acre, so are my neighbors on each side. #CA01
The guy behind us is on 5 acres. It’s thickly wooded. My next door neighbor on 1 acre had about 3 or 4 (maybe more) trees suddenly die. She cut them down. Over 6 years, we’ve cut down 7. There are dead trees across fwy from me. I’ll bet there are some on the 5 acres behind me.
I drive a couple of miles to local grocery store, passing homes of various lot sizes. Wooded. Dead trees here & there. Not cut down yet. It’s expensive! Really expensive! We’ve spent about $4k removing trees. My lot is sparsely treed. Others are pretty thick. #CA01
Read 7 tweets
Update: What we thought was an ovarian cyst, turned out to be a football-sized tumor on my ovary. It’s benign & I'll be back on the campaign trail soon! Quick reflection on healthcare & challenges facing our large, rural, 11-county #CA01 district: bit.ly/2NgG3CH (1/8)
Two points about healthcare in #CA01 -- First point: When it comes to cost, two thirds of bankruptcies in our country are related to a medical crisis. I was almost one of them. bit.ly/2NgG3CH (2/8)
When I took a leave of absence from my job as an educator to run for Congress in #CA01 & campaign full-time, my employer convinced me to continue health insurance via COBRA. I’m grateful they did. No one should go bankrupt because of health issues. bit.ly/2NgG3CH (3/8)
Read 8 tweets

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