Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Capability

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Capability to impose an Indian Ocean blockade on a nuclear armed enemy, has good #Deterrant value as the final conventional deterrent, below the nuclear threshold. The suggestions to shift the battle from Himalayas to the Indian Ocean are however, strategically ill considered
2/xxx Idea would be to #Deter China(by ability to cripple its oil imports & trade) from converting a hot border war into a full fledged war against Indian heartland(including by bringing a substantial part of its US-facing assets into Tibet+Xinjiang). #Deterrence=#NoWar in IO
3/xxx Sucessfull IO deterrence of kind indicated👆🏼, would mean fighting a cold war(not hot) in the littoral States and islands of Indian Ocean, which requires geoeconomics, geopolitics and diplomacy as much as, or more than, naval warfighting.
Read 4 tweets
Surely every serious national security strategist understands the distinction btwn Govts Geopolitical decisions and th military's detailed scenario planning & action program. A govt can decided on basis of expected value of outcome or worst case scenarios-the latter is paralyzing
2/ns The critical issue in China-India conflict is that,as of now (2020), #China controls the #escalatory ladder. So India's #National #Security Apparatus has to make assumptions about when and how #CCPpla will escalate, if it loses the first few steps on its escalatory ladder!
3/ns The worst case scenario for us is therefore the one in which after loosing previous escalations, #CCP China escalates to a full fledged war/attack on India, by shifting US-facing troops and highest quality equipment towards India. This has proved paralyzing for past Govts!🤔
Read 69 tweets
Streatham #terrorist was arrested in glorifying, promoting and possessing #terrorism material but at the time of having these, he has no capability to commit an act of terrorism.
After releasing from prison, he had #Motivation and #Capability to do so.
He got both from #prison.
So in this case, the question arises, how and from where did he get capability and motivation to commit an act of terrorism in prison?
There are really serious issues in prison #rehabilitation programs. These programs need to be reformed & added right #methods by @ukhomeoffice.
It’s time for @MoJGovUK to reevaluate the prevent strategy in prisons. They need to recruit more efficient Islamic theologians and introduce new counter Islamist ideological methods in order to rehabilitate potential terrorists.
@ITCTofficial is ready to offer such services.
Read 3 tweets

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