Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #RTY_F

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How could you increase your win rate (%) as a swing trader?

Here are a few tricks I personally use that can help you 👇🧵
1. Trade with the market trend

Define the trend of the indices #ES_F #NQ_F #RTY_F and create rules to ensure you initiate new long positions while the market is trending higher.

• Price > 50dma
• 21dma > 50dma
• Etc, it's up to you based on your trading timeframe
2. Make sure the market breadth is confirming the index's move

Sometimes, the market underneath the surface is weak, so you want to ensure strong participation.

• Net new high/low (absolute/#NYHL)
• Advances/Declines (McClellan/#NYSI)
Read 10 tweets
TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$SPX
A low #CPI triggered a 114-point jump that took it above the dominant trendline. At the open, sell orders above that level initiated a pullback that took it 126 points down to the 20DMA

Not what we would call a 1-day reversal, more upside to come
#SPX
$DIA
Same picture for #DIA, sell orders above Dec 1 high pushed the #DJI lower

It went down after an impressive initial rally
Bounced from 20DMA

#DJIA will continue to lead the rally

Not a pretty candle, but not exactly a 1-day reversal

#DowJones #trading #options #trading
$IWM

Same story

Perhaps an uglier candle, closer to a 1-day reversal than $DIA and $SPX.

$RTY looking much better

Bounced from important support in the trading channel

Big volume today.

#IWM needs to catch up with $DJI for accompanying leadership

$RUT #RUT #RTY_F #trading
Read 12 tweets
The market today:

$SPX / $SPY / $ES

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its upward trending channel

It bounced from channel support

#SPX #ES_F #trading #options #futures #daytrading #TradingSignals Image
$DIA / $DJI / $YM

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its upward trending channel

It bounced from channel support

#DIA #DJIA #DowJones #trading #options #Futures #OptionsTrading #DayTrading #TradingSignals #YM_F Image
$QQQ / $NDX / $NQ

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its short-term upward trending channel and its mid-term downward channel

It bounced near channel support

#QQQ #NASDAQ #IXIC #NDX #trading #OptionsTrading #Futures #NQ_F #daytrading
Read 7 tweets
Portfolio snapshot -

Long - $ADYEY $AFRM $AMPL $CFLT $DDOG
$DLO $GLBE $GTLB $LILM $MELI $MNDY $OKTA
$S $SE $SNOW $SOFI $TOST $TWLO $U $ZI

Short - $ARKK #RTY_F

After raising cash at start of Dec, am now done re-investing. Portfolio is hedged via $ARKK + net short via #RTY_F.
Secular growth stocks have already been murdered!

Most are down 50-75% from their ATHs and even $ARKK declined by 60% from its ATH and gave back all of its post-COVID gains (this, despite the fact that the underlying companies grew rapidly in 2020/2021).

Cont...
In January, $ARKK bottomed at $64 and then tested that low a few days later.

After the recent rally, current pullback has found support *above* last month's lows. Base formation seems to have begun and the crash is in the rear view mirror. This is time to scale in and buy fear.
Read 4 tweets
Secular growth stocks showing strength, most consolidating above last month's lows.

They peaked before the indices, probable they'll also bottom out before the broad market.

After 50-80% declines between Nov-Jan, the crash is behind us. DCA over next 5-6 weeks should work.
The indices are still vulnerable to a final leg down which will likely also affect the growth stocks.

This is why weekly buying over the next 5-6 weeks is probably the safer option. As soon as the Fed backs away or gives clarity, these secular growth stocks will take off.
To those who are chirping, my message has been clear for weeks -

Growth stocks peaked before the indices, likely they'll bottom before the indices or at least start showing relative strength.

Broad market (which is still ~10% below ATH) remains vulnerable to a final flush.
Read 5 tweets
1)Portfolio Jan-end -

$ADYEY $AFRM $CFLT $DDOG $DLO $GLBE $GTLB $LILM $LSPD $MELI $MNDY $OKTA $S $SE $SOFI $SNOW $TOST $TWLO $U $ZI

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +641.57% (44.73%pa)
$ACWI +71.89% (10.51%pa)
$SPX +108.00% (14.47%pa)

Contd...
2) YTD return (2022)-

Portfolio (-)4.18%
$ACWI (-)4.96%
$SPX (-)5.26%

Biggest positions -

1) $DDOG 2) $CFLT 3) $ZI 4) $GTLB 5) $MELI

Contd....
3) Commentary -

January was tough for stocks and it was especially brutal for growth stocks!

Before the month-end rally, $ARKK was down ~30% from the start of the year and both $ACWI and $SPX were down ~10%. The rally over the past couple of trading sessions eased some pain...
Read 9 tweets
1)Portfolio Dec-end -

Long - $ADYEY $DLO $GLBE $LILM $LSPD $MELI $MQ $S $SE $SOFI $TOST $TWLO $TLT

Short - $ARKK, Russell 2000 futures #RTY_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +672.73% (46.76%pa)
$ACWI +80.02% (11.66%pa)
$SPX +119.60% (15.90%pa)

Contd...
2) YTD return (2021)-

Portfolio +21.81%
$ACWI +16.80%
$SPX +26.89%

Biggest positions -

1) $TLT 2) $SE 3) $MELI 4) $MQ 5) $SOFI

Contd....
3) Commentary -

December was a brutal month for growth stocks as the previous month's selling continued before a relief rally briefly reversed the downtrend.

At the beginning of the month, I sold out of all stocks and around mid-month, positioned my portfolio for the post-QE..
Read 16 tweets
Mid-month portfolio snapshot -

$ADYEY $AFRM $CRWD $DLO $GLBE $LILM $LSPD
$MELI $MQ $OKTA $PATH $PLTR $QS $SE $SHOP $SNOW $TOST $TWLO $U $UPST $ZI #RTY_F #DXY

Short $ARKK
Top 5 positions (% allocation) -

1) $SE
2) $MELI
3) $SNOW
4) $GLBE
5) $U

Portfolio currently hedged but GTC buy stop to remove the $ARKK short less than 100bps higher. Its been a super choppy summer/autumn with many whipsaws but this is the price I pay to protect my capital.
Sharing my portfolio holdings so you know what I own and am eating my own cooking....but, please do your own due diligence before investing.

I make mistakes from time to time and this is why my portfolio typically has 18-22 companies.

Size your bets carefully, its your money.
Read 3 tweets
1)Portfolio Oct-end -

$ADYEY $AFRM $CRWD $DLO $GLBE $LILM $LSPD $MELI $MQ $MTTR $OKTA $PATH $PLTR $QS $SE $SHOP $SNOW $TOST $TWLO $U $UBER $UPST $ZI #RTY_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +779.77% (52.29%pa)
$ACWI +79.25% (11.95%pa)
$SPX +112.10% (15.65%pa)

Contd...
2) YTD return -

Portfolio +39.18%
$ACWI +16.10%
$SPX +22.61%

Biggest positions -

1) $SE 2) $MQ 3) $AFRM 3) $MELI 4) $MTTR

Contd....
3) Commentary -

October was a decent month as my portfolio rebounded with the broad market.

During the month, I grabbed shares of $AFRM $MQ $QS and $TOST and in order to raise cash for these, sold out of a few lower conviction or more mature companies in my portfolio....
Read 12 tweets

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