Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Volatility

Most recents (24)

1/ Markets are down and the Vix is...down.

Why is the Vix sub-14? And what is the Vix?

Debrief from my convo with a equity volatility options trader.

What happens from here?

Charts below.

#VIX #volatility #nvidia
2/ Vix closed at 13.5 today.

The VIX, or Volatility Index, is a measure of expected price fluctuations in the S&P 500 Index options over the next 30 days.

It is often referred to as the "fear index" or "fear gauge" because it represents the market's expectation of volatility. Image
3/ The Black-Scholes (or related equations) are used to back-out the implied volatility. Observed put/call prices on front-month contracts Image
Read 6 tweets
🚨 #FOMC Trade Thread 🚨

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

THIS STRATEGY IS 96% ACCURATE PAST 26 FOMC’S (Only One Non-Event Move) 💰

Please ❤️ & ♻️
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF!

There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
👇🏼HOW TO TRADE #FOMC 👇🏼

You FADE the INITIAL REACTION on $SPY at 2PM EST once the Rates are given out and you PLAY the opposite when Powell Speaks at 2:30PM EST.

ITS THAT SIMPLE.
Read 11 tweets
On Fiscal Impulse

1. Recently we examined the latest data on US #government spending, i..e, US #fiscal impulse. Monthly spending data from the government contains significant #volatility; therefore, we apply a smoothing process to extract spending trends in government data. Image
2. Above, we show our estimates of the monthly changes in US government spending. We decompose this spending into its sources, i.e., government revenues, borrowing, and cash balances.
3. Our latest estimates for government spending in May saw spending rise by 1%, primarily driven by decreases in government cash balances.
Read 9 tweets
#ES flirted with 4,115 again after that great intraday $HYG reversal portended downside #volatility when cyclicals didn‘t really point higher.
The day ended with a profound deterioration in market breadth and unappealing sectoral overview.
THREAD 👇 ImageImage
2. #tech upswing invited selling interest, while #value and especially $IWM turned strongly south.
#ES though had been relatively resilient given both #manufacturing and #retailsales hits, and today‘s data in #housing weren‘t slated to bring a disaster.
The figures are
3. obviously more optimistic than they would have otherwise been if the #housing market could clear itself by bringing in more supply, which isn‘t though a realistic expectation when #mortgage rates have been locked low in a different era of 2020-2021.
Read 6 tweets
#FlashBack Thread.

17th May 2004 - #BlackMonday LowerCircuit Day.

Started learning Technicals from @nsfidai just a week or two before this event.

Remember him and his friend discussing how markets are heading lower irrespective of results.

Let's see what happened.
#IndianElections & the Impact.

#Nifty fell almost 20% in a single day. Closed 12-13 % lower.

Down 32% from April to May. Peak to Bottom.

On Close 24% fall.

#BJP lost elections.

Remember the "India is Shining " Campaign.

Learnt Lower Top Lower Bottom Pattern ImageImage
#Global Impact of Indian Elections.

#US Markets fell by 6-7% in April-May 2004.

Was down 1% on 17th May 2004. Image
Read 11 tweets
🚨 #FOMC Trade Thread 🚨

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

THIS STRATEGY IS 96.1% ACCURATE PAST 26 FOMC’S (Only One Non-Event Move) 👇

Please ❤️ & ♻️
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF!

There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
HOW TO TRADE #FOMC

You FADE the INITIAL REACTION on $SPY at 2PM EST once the Rates are given out and you PLAY the opposite when Powell Speaks at 2:30PM EST.

Example: If initially the market falls at 2PM you would go long at 2:25-2:35 once he starts to speak &this can be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 12 tweets
If you ever wondered...

"Do I need a Financial Advisor?"

...this thread can help you decide!

Read on! (1/n)

#financialadvisor #financialplanning #financialgoals #personalfinance #thread
Before we begin, reflect on these two questions...

When choosing between two similar investment options, have you ever wondered which one you should pick?

Ever wondered if an #insurance policy could protect your family or if it was just bells and whistles? (2/n)

#investing
These are the exact situations in which a Financial Advisor can help do away with uncertainty and help you make the right choices for YOU!

Here are 4 ways how a Financial Advisor can help: (3/n)

#financialadvisor #financialplanning #personalfinance
Read 13 tweets
🚨 #FOMC Trade Thread 🚨

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

THIS STRATEGY IS 96.1% ACCURATE PAST 26 FOMC’S (Only One Non-Event Move) 💰

Please ❤️ & ♻️ 👇🏼
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF!

There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
👇🏼HOW TO TRADE #FOMC 👇🏼

You FADE the INITIAL REACTION on $SPY at 2PM EST once the Rates are given out and you PLAY the opposite when Powell Speaks at 2:30PM EST.

Example: If initially the market falls at 2PM you would go long at 2:25-2:35 once he starts to speak &this can be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 9 tweets
#Bitcoin prices set to reach $45,000 this year, says report - Follow the 'fair value' roadmap for optimal #tradingstrategy ⬇️🧵

Sub to our TG for the latest: t.me/matrixportupda… Image
1/10: Despite recent #volatility, #Bitcoin prices are where they should be according to our #CPI/#FOMC roadmap laid out in Feb.
2/10: Based on the Jan. Effect, #Bitcoin could finish the year around $45k, which seemed optimistic at $22k, but is now achievable. Image
Read 12 tweets
New iOS in #Markets

Indian #Options Speculators.

There has been a huge surge in #Retail and #Proprietary trading in #Options and more specifically in #Index Options.

The Data & Charts below are just #Crazy and getting crazier.
1) #Retail Participation went through the roof in 2021

Some Moderation now in 2022-2023

#Retail in Cash Market From 3 cr in Jan 20 to 11.7 cr in 2021.
#Retail at 3.2 cr participants March 23.

3x jump in all participation from Jan 20 !! Image
2) Everyone is an #Option Trader

#FIIs are just 9.5% of #IndexOptions Premium Turnover !!! From 21% in Fy20.

45% is #Domestic Prop ( #Broker trading on its own behalf )

35% is #Retail.
Retail + pro = 80%
#Retail is almost 4x of #FIIs.

Btw #FIIs own 20% of India. Image
Read 12 tweets
Well, time to explain what we do with coins and why we deposit most of them on exchanges. Even #floki holders believe that we dump all the purchased coins, because we bought 81B #floki from and send them to exchanges. We just sent 57B floki to the on-chain wallet. @RealFlokiInu Image
The rest sit across exchanges, because as MM we must provide liquidity 24/7. Link to the wallet, feel free to check. bscscan.com/address/0x073A…
Frankly, the most dumb thing that #MM could do is to leave all the purchased/burrowed assets in the #wallet. Because MM should create markets, provide #depth, improve order execution instead of doing nothing and waiting when the market is skyrocketing to execute its call options
Read 12 tweets
🌐 Traders! We're thrilled to announce that Gamma Swap is now officially LIVE on #DeriProtocol @arbitrum !

Get ready for a game-changing experience in the world of #DeFi. 🎉🎉🧵💙🧡

👉deri.io/#/trade/gamma/

#GammaSwap $BTC #hedge #volatility #Options #Gamma $ETH #Arbitrum
❓What’s Gamma Swap?

Gamma Swap is a financial instrument where buyers (who take the long side) can obtain Gamma exposure of an underlying asset, while sellers (who take the short side) can earn funding fees for providing that exposure. Longing Gamma Swap has the following PnL👇
Read 8 tweets
🧵 1/4 UTXO Age-Based Investor Engagement refers to how actively different investor groups interact with the market, including fund movements within the network, sending to or withdrawing from exchanges. Data is displayed from Jan 1, 2023 to today.

#Crypto #Investing
🧵 2/4 Current investor activity since the start of the year:

Short-term investors (UTXO age 0-1 month) = 76.19%
Mid-term investors (UTXO age 1 month-1 year) = 10.88%
Long-term investors (UTXO age >1 year) = 12.92%

#CryptoMarket #Trading
🧵 3/4 Short-term investors (76%) are the most active in the market, indicating that a significant portion of trading is speculative, aiming for quick profits. This activity can increase market volatility and create short-term price fluctuations.

#SpeculativeTrading #Volatility
Read 4 tweets
Amendment to the Finance Bill 2023 - The #FinanceMinister has made all #DebtMutual fund investments ,after 01.04.2023 taxable as #ShortTermCapitalGains.

No #LTCG on DebtSchemes.

DebtSchemes will now be at par with #BankDeposits on taxation

bit.ly/3LIC96w
Hybrid category will start becoming popular with more than 36% in Equity.

Expect more such offerings from #AMCs. Brace for more #volatility in New offerings.
No implications if you continue to hold your existing #DebtPortfolio. Only if you invest fresh funds post 1 April 2023, there will be only STCG like #BankDeposits.
Read 4 tweets
A week ago, after hearing #ChairPowell’s testimony before Congress, all eyes were set to be on today’s #inflation data, which presumably would help market participants better understand the #FOMC’s policy reaction at its March 22nd meeting.
What a difference a week makes these days! Of course, all eyes are still on today’s data, but now there are many other things we need to consider (such as #FinancialStability concerns), when judging the reaction function of the @federalreserve.
As we have long contended, #markets tend to be fairly myopic and lacking in patience, so having to focus on more than one news item at a time causes tremendous #uncertainty and thus greater market #volatility.
Read 16 tweets
Almost every millennial aspires to retire early. But most of the time, this goal seems almost impossible to achieve.

Well, let us tell you... it's NOT impossible! Welcome to the world of FIRE! (1/n)

#financialplanning #financialgoals #retireearly #thread
So, what is FIRE?

FIRE stands for Financial Independence Retire Early and it's all about achieving financial freedom so that you can retire early and live life on your own terms. (2/n)

#financialindependence #financialfreedom #retirementplanning
Can you achieve FIRE in India?

Yes, you can!

Firstly, you need to focus on your Savings Rate (SR). This means cutting back on unnecessary expenses and living below your means.

A high SR is key to achieving financial independence. (3/n)

#saving #investing #FinancialFreedom
Read 12 tweets
Another NFO - at an opportune time:

New Fund Offer (NFO) of Motilal Oswal Nifty G-sec May 2029 Index Fund. The NFO opens and closes on 02nd March 2023

Why should you invest in Motilal Oswal Nifty G-sec May 2029 Index fund?
It is a 6 year open ended #DebtScheme - comparable time frame to most popular investment alternative viz. 5 year #BankFD

With likely capture of Gross YTM of 7.40% - again comparable to current rates of 5 year FDs or even better
However, MO 2029 G Sec NFO scores over FDs on many counts:
1. More #TaxEfficient with 7 indexation benefits
2. Similar returns but scope for capital gains if redeemed before maturity (when interest rates soften)
3. Better #Liquidity as it is open ended debt scheme
Read 7 tweets
(1/8) A #bearrun occurs when supply exceeds demand & market performance falls short of recent highs.
This thread helps you delve deep into the realms of #cryptocurrency and determine the essentials required to spot a Bear Run.🧵

Read more: medium.com/zignaly/llts-1…
#ZIGNALY #LLTS Image
(2/8) A crypto bear run could be hard to foresee before it happens. It does, however, usually go along with extremely optimistic moments.
Although it has many of the same drawbacks as a bull run, a #bear run is more unpredictable having higher price #volatility.👀
#ZIGNALY #LLTS
(3/8) Investors need to have a keen eye for spotting a bear run in order to properly manage their #investment choices. These trends might seem very obvious, but identifying them beforehand is essential to cut down on investment. #risks. 🕵🏼‍♂️
#ZIGNALY #LLTS
Read 8 tweets
Wondering if you should start a SIP?

Here is a thread that can help! (1/n)

#mutualfunds #investing #SIP #thread
The market has been very volatile for the last couple of months.

With 2023 lined up to be another uncertain year, how should investors take advantage of such a year? (2/n)

#investors #volatility #wealthcreation
The answer is simple. Rather than waiting on the sidelines, the best way to participate in the market is via a SIP! (3/n)

#SIP #investingtips #compounding
Read 10 tweets
🧵 #FOMC Trade Thread 🧵

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

🚨THIS STRATEGY IS 100% ACCURATE PAST 22 FOMC’S🚨
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF! 🚀
There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
Read 10 tweets
If you haven't read it
From our newsletter:
$DJI
"Last Friday it managed - just like the $DJT and $IWM - to make a solid upward breakout... did so on high volume... close above the 20, 50, 100 and 200DMA.
All indicates that this will most likely be the way forward for the #SPX"
" #DJT made an excellent breakout and closed above 20 and 100DMA. It closed right at its 50DMA. Bullish action from a leading indicator. $DJT will have to surpass the conjunction of 50DMA and 200DMA next week, in order to validate more upward moves"
It did that yesterday

#ES_F
$QQQ

"A follow up rally is expected to allow it to break out of the Noise Box and break above at least the 20DMA.
On Monday it broke above the Noise Box, yesterday above the 20DMA, today above the 50DMA"

#QQQ #NDX #TradingSignals #bearmarket #SPX #ES_F #trading #SPX
Read 10 tweets
Announcing MISTERBOND'S ROLL OF HONOUR for Mutual Fund schemes under all categories of #Debt, #Hybrid and #Equity.

This will showcase Top 5 schemes in each category.

This should become the #GOLD standard in ranking Mutual Fund schemes on #QuantitativeAnalysis
This will be based on monthly analysis of daily rolling returns in each category and then
12 month average of such monthly analysis
We compile daily rolling returns over different periods based on Asset classes like:
1. Daily 60 mth rolling returns over past 7 yrs for Equity
2. Daily 36 mth rolling returns over past 5 yrs for CreditRisk
3. Daily 12 mth rolling returns over past 3 yrs for Low Duration Funds
Read 10 tweets
TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$SPX
A low #CPI triggered a 114-point jump that took it above the dominant trendline. At the open, sell orders above that level initiated a pullback that took it 126 points down to the 20DMA

Not what we would call a 1-day reversal, more upside to come
#SPX
$DIA
Same picture for #DIA, sell orders above Dec 1 high pushed the #DJI lower

It went down after an impressive initial rally
Bounced from 20DMA

#DJIA will continue to lead the rally

Not a pretty candle, but not exactly a 1-day reversal

#DowJones #trading #options #trading
$IWM

Same story

Perhaps an uglier candle, closer to a 1-day reversal than $DIA and $SPX.

$RTY looking much better

Bounced from important support in the trading channel

Big volume today.

#IWM needs to catch up with $DJI for accompanying leadership

$RUT #RUT #RTY_F #trading
Read 12 tweets

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